Lockdown will reduce estimated coronavirus fatalities from 260,000 to 5,700 in UK: Scientists

A Chinese tourist wears a protective face mask while visiting the Shwedagon pagoda in Yangon, February 2, 2020. Myanmar government suspended on-arrival visas for Chinese tourists on February 1, 2020. Photo: AFP Forum via Nurphoto/ Shwe Paw Mya Tin. Sketched by the Pan Pacific Agency.

LONDON, Mar 28, 2020, The Times. Britain is on course for an estimated 5,700 deaths from coronavirus, far lower than originally predicted, experts believe. The country will avoid the 260,000 fatalities once feared if it keeps on the same path seen in China, statisticians at Imperial College London have calculated, The Times reported.

They emphasised that this did not imply that the fears of mass deaths were alarmist, but that the government strategy was working. “Our work shows that social distancing is working against Covid-19 as an effective parachute across multiple countries,” Tom Pike, of Imperial College, said. “That’s no reason for us to cut away our parachutes when we’re still way above the ground.”

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